Louisiana Tech vs. MTSU odds, line, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from proven model

SportsLine's model just revealed its college football picks for the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on Thursday

Teams mired in losing streaks will clash Thursday on CBS Sports Network as the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. Both squads have just one victory, with Louisiana Tech (1-3) losing its last three, while MTSU (1-4) has dropped four in a row. Both Conference USA programs are also looking for their first wins within the conference this season, with each 0-1 thus far against CUSA opponents. Louisiana Tech leads the all-time series 5-3.

Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET from Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston, La. The latest MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech odds from SportsLine consensus, have the Bulldogs as 4.5-point home favorites. The over/under for total points is 49, after opening at 51.5. Before entering any Louisiana Tech vs. MTSU picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks since inception, and is 8-4 on top-rated picks over the past two weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Louisiana Tech vs. Middle Tennessee. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech:

• MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech spread: Louisiana Tech -4.5
• MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech over/under: 49 points
• MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech money line: Louisiana Tech -205, MTSU +167
• MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech picks: See picks here
• MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Louisiana Tech can cover

This game will take place in north Louisiana, giving the Bulldogs a huge home-field advantage over a MTSU team that hasn't won on the road since 2022. The Blue Raiders have lost their last eight road games, with an average margin of defeat of 19.5 points. The historical matchups between these teams also greatly favors La. Tech as the home team is 7-1 across their eight prior meetings, including the Bulldogs being 4-0 at home.

Louisiana Tech has the strongest unit in this game with its defense, which leads Conference USA in allowing just 299.5 yards per game. That ranks among the top 25 in the nation, and the Bulldogs also rank in the top 25 in rushing defense, giving up just 101.3 ypg. The team doesn't slack in defending thru the air either as it's been superb at limiting big plays. Louisiana Tech hasn't allowed a single passing play of more than 38 yards all season, making it one of eight FBS teams to not allow a passing play of at least 40 yards. See which team to pick here. 

Why Middle Tennessee can cover

MTSU has the offensive talent to not just cover but outright win, especially in the passing game. Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato leads CUSA with 1,285 passing yards while his top target, receiver Omari Kelly, leads the conference with 471 receiving yards. Additionally, Holden Willis, who played out wide as a receiver last season, transitioned to tight end this year, and it's been a successful position change. His 320 receiving yards are second on the team and rank fifth amongst all FBS tight ends in 2024.

Middle Tennessee can also take advantage of Louisiana Tech's offensive deficiencies. The Bulldogs simply cannot move the ball on the ground, averaging only 2.4 yards per carry, which is worst in CUSA and ranks 132nd out of 134 FBS teams. La. Tech also has a tendency to shoot itself in its own foot as just six teams in the nation have more giveaways than the Bulldogs' 12. Their -9 turnover differential is fourth-worst in the nation, which will give MTSU extra opportunities to put points on the board. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech picks

The model has simulated Louisiana Tech vs. MTSU 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins MTSU vs. Louisiana Tech, and which side of the spread is hitting almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Louisiana Tech vs. Middle Tennessee spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.