Alabama vs. Georgia odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 5 predictions by proven model

SportsLine's model just revealed its college football picks for Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday

Perhaps the top matchup of the entire 2024 college football regular season is on Saturday when the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) host the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0). These teams have been College Football Playoff regulars over the past decade and they've combined for six national championships during that span. With the playoff field expanding to 12, both are as close to locks to make it as you'll find, but that shouldn't lessen the intensity of what's become one of college football's top rivalry matchups.

Kickoff at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are 2-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under is down to 48.5 after opening at 53.5. Before making any Georgia vs. Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Georgia vs. Alabama:

• Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Georgia -2
• Alabama vs. Georgia over/under: 48.5 points
• Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Georgia -128, Alabama +106
• Alabama vs. Georgia picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

Georgia finally broke through in this series with a win in the 2022 national title game, but this has been a series largely dominated by the Crimson Tide. Alabama has a 43-26-4 overall edge in the head-to-head series and the Tide have won eight of their last nine against the Bulldogs. Georgia head coach Kirby Smart has only beaten Alabama one time in six tries.

With Kalen DeBoer taking over for Nick Saban, the Crimson Tide haven't missed a beat offensively thus far. They rank second nationally in scoring on plays of 20 or more yards and quarterback Jalen Milroe has 14 total touchdowns already, tying for the most by an SEC player through three games since 2000. Receiver Ryan Williams has been a huge boost for the passing attack as he leads all freshmen nationally in receiving yards (285) and yards per reception (28.5). See which team to pick here. 

Why Georgia can cover

Bettors might be cautious about backing Georgia after it struggled at Kentucky, but the Bulldogs also have one of the most impressive wins of the season on their resume, blasting Clemson 34-3 in Week 1 and covering with 20 points to spare. Quarterback Carson Beck is a potential top overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he's off to a fast start, completing 56 of 82 passes for 680 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions.

On the other side of the ball, Georgia is loaded with high-end talent, most notably defensive end Mykel Williams, who is day-to-day with an ankle injury, and safety Malaki Starks. Georgia ranks third nationally in scoring defense, giving up just 6.0 points per game through three games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

The model has simulated Alabama vs. Georgia 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.