Strong El Niño Expected to Develop by End of 2026

· Eleven Media Group Co., Ltd

The Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (DMH) has forecast that El Niño, a climate phenomenon associated with irregular rainfall, abnormal storm activity and drought, is likely to strengthen during 2026, reaching a moderate level in July and potentially becoming very strong by the end of the year.

According to the DMH, sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean near the Equator are currently consistent with a weak El Niño. Based on forecasts from international meteorological agencies and climate models, the phenomenon is expected to intensify to a moderate El Niño during July 2026 and could develop into a very strong event towards the end of the year.

Although El Niño originates in the Pacific Ocean, its impacts are felt globally. It is commonly linked to irregular rainfall patterns, higher daytime temperatures, unusual storm activity, drought and other extreme weather events.

The DMH has urged relevant sectors to make advance preparations for possible impacts and said it will continue to issue timely updates on the evolving El Niño conditions.