Crypto Market May Face Volatility as Japan 10-Year Bond Yields Surge, Says Analyst - Blockonomi
by Brenda Mary · BlockonomiTLDR:
Table of Contents
- Bitcoin often drops after major Japan bond yield hikes, following historical patterns.
- Rising Japanese yields push investors to sell assets, impacting U.S. yields and crypto.
- Short-term market volatility is expected before potential central bank easing.
- Liquidity measures from central banks historically support crypto recovery and market stability.
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market could face increased volatility next week as Japan’s 10-year bond yield recently surpassed levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis.
This rise follows the Bank of Japan’s rate hike to the highest level in nearly three decades. Historical trends suggest that higher Japanese yields often put pressure on cryptocurrency prices, potentially triggering a short-term market drop.
Rising Bond Yields and Crypto Volatility
The Bank of Japan’s recent actions have created notable stress across global financial markets.
According to Crypto Rover, previous rate hikes in January, March, and July 2025 led to Bitcoin declines of 7%, 10%, and 20%, respectively, in the following weeks.
These patterns indicate that the next week could see another price drop, possibly marking a local bottom. The timing and severity of these movements often coincide with global bond market reactions.
Japan’s rising yields typically prompt investors to sell assets, including stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
As selling pressure increases, U.S. bond yields may also rise, affecting the sustainability of U.S. debt. Rising U.S. yields make borrowing more expensive, which can reduce investment flows into risk assets like crypto.
This chain of events has historically contributed to short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin and other digital assets.
Market participants often monitor such trends to anticipate potential shifts in liquidity. Crypto Rover emphasizes that despite potential short-term declines, Bitcoin’s price trajectory still follows its four-year cycle.
While a small rebound might occur, the overall trend may continue downward until larger economic measures, like central bank easing, intervene.
Central Bank Responses and Future Outlook
Historically, when bond yields rise rapidly, central banks often take action to stabilize markets. Responses usually include policy reversals, liquidity injections, or quantitative easing to prevent bond market breakdowns.
In previous instances, such as during 2020-2021, these measures helped restore market stability and supported asset prices, including cryptocurrencies.
Crypto Rover suggests that if Japanese yields continue increasing, they could indirectly pressure the U.S. Federal Reserve to implement easing measures.
Higher bond yields force central banks to maintain market liquidity, which can eventually benefit risk assets. Historical patterns suggest that cryptocurrencies tend to recover strongly once liquidity measures are implemented.
In the medium to long term, the current stress in global bond markets may create opportunities for investors.
As central banks respond to rising yields, liquidity returns to markets. For crypto, this historically coincides with periods of strong upward momentum. Investors monitoring these signals may anticipate potential entry points during market corrections.