Japan's quality of life kept sliding after COVID restrictions ended, study reveals
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A nationwide study tracking Japanese adults before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic found that health-related quality of life steadily declined over seven years and did not rebound after the public health emergency ended. Researchers say the decline may reflect the cumulative impact of pandemic-related changes in physical activity, mental well-being and social interaction among working-age adults across Japan.
The paper is published in the journal Scientific Reports.
The COVID-19 pandemic upended many aspects of everyday life, including socialization, office work and medical care, but little data was available to quantify how those changes affected quality of life both during the pandemic and over the long term, particularly on a national scale.
Researchers from Hiroshima University in Japan implemented a nationwide survey of adults ages 20 to 85 to assess health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in all of Japan and within individual prefectures, or regions, over three fiscal years (FY): FY2017, FY2020 and FY2024. In Japan, the fiscal year begins on April 1 and ends on March 31 of the following calendar year.
The middle point, labeled FY2020 in the paper, was fielded in March 2021, around the time Japan was lifting its second state of emergency following the third wave of COVID-19 infections.
How the study worked
The team used the EQ-5D-3L standardized questionnaire, developed by the EuroQol (EQ) Group, to measure five dimensions (5D) of HRQoL—mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort and anxiety/depression—by asking respondents to rate each using three levels (3L) of severity. The surveys were tailored for specific age groups, formats, languages and country-specific value sets for culturally appropriate scoring.
HRQoL scores in this study were calculated using an EQ-5D-3L value set developed specifically for the Japanese population.
HRQoL is affected by many factors, including acute events such as earthquakes, tsunamis and pandemics like COVID-19, as well as broader, longer-term changes like socioeconomic conditions, health behaviors and disease patterns.
While the researchers originally initiated the surveys to identify emerging population health issues, design targeted interventions and optimize resource allocation within the Japanese health care system, a stratified two-stage random sampling design and three-point timing of the study provided the first national-level information to scientists regarding HRQoL in Japan before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
A steady national decline
"The results of this study show that, over the seven-year period—including before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic—HRQoL among Japan's working-age population has declined gradually but steadily. These findings are expected to serve as important baseline data for considering health support measures for the working-age population in future health and medical policies as well as regional initiatives," said Tomoyuki Akita, lecturer in the Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences at Hiroshima University and corresponding author of the research paper.
The participation rate of the survey and distribution of sex, age and occupation were comparable between the years, with 34.0%, 44.1% and 29.5% of surveys sent in FY2017, FY2020 and FY2024, respectively, received as valid responses. Across the seven-year span, the nationwide mean EQ-5D-3L utility score declined from 0.9133 in FY2017 to 0.8977 in FY2020 and 0.8834 in FY2024.
The study found statistically significant declines in HRQoL among men in their 40s to 60s and women in their 30s to 50s nationwide in Japan across the three survey years (FY2017, FY2020 and FY2024).
Regional patterns and policy use
Importantly, the researchers also analyzed regional differences in HRQoL among Japan's prefectures, some of which have relatively low populations.
Rather than using conventional statistical approaches, which may provide inaccurate estimates with smaller sample sizes, the team used Bayesian methods, which incorporate prior knowledge of nationwide HRQoL distributions, to more reliably compare regions with varying sample sizes.
This prefecture-level information is particularly useful for formulating local health and medical policies.
"During the COVID-19 pandemic, many indirect effects on HRQoL have been reported, including reduced use of health care services, decreased physical activity and worsening mental health. While this study does not directly examine causal relationships, the marked decline in HRQoL among the working-age population may reflect the cumulative impact of these behavioral and social changes. In particular, attention should be paid to the fact that this gradual decline has continued over time," said Akita.
Questions beyond Japan
The fortunate timing of the team's HRQoL surveys provided unique insight into quality-of-life issues extending well beyond the COVID-19 pandemic and raises questions about the pertinence of these results to other nations. Did other nations experience a similar decline in HRQoL during the pandemic? Has the decline improved in some nations and not others?
While retroactive, large-scale surveying of HRQoL in other countries is not possible, that does not negate the importance of this information when developing health policy and distributing resources. The researchers plan to continue their work to guide Japanese health care policy in the future.
"It is necessary to continue monitoring health-related quality of life (HRQoL) nationwide, while also conducting deeper analyses of the causes of its decline and comparisons with other countries," said Akita.
Publication details
Tetsuo Hirako et al, Longitudinal changes in health related quality of life in Japan based on nationwide surveys and Bayesian regional estimates, Scientific Reports (2026). DOI: 10.1038/s41598-026-45692-x
Journal information: Scientific Reports
Key medical concepts
Health Related Quality Of LifeCOVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019)Mental HealthActivities, Physical
Clinical categories
Preventive medicineHealthy livingPsychology & Mental health Provided by Hiroshima University Who's behind this story?
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