These four seats reveal the weird dynamics at work in Victoria

· Australian Financial Review

Emma McGrath-Cohen and , Sumeyya Ilanbey
Nov 13, 2026 – 2.31pm

After 12 years of Labor rule under Daniel Andrews, Jacinta Allan and most recently Ben Carroll, the Coalition appears poised to retake control in Victoria, Australia’s most progressive state.

Yet the election on November 28 will be the biggest test of One Nation as a political force. Can it translate strong polling into seats?

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Emma McGrath-CohenReporterEmma McGrath-Cohen is a journalist for The Australian Financial Review. Message Emma on Signal @emmamc.26 Email Emma at emma.mcgrathcohen@afr.com.au

Sumeyya IlanbeyVictorian political correspondentSumeyya Ilanbey is the Victorian political correspondent for The Australian Financial Review. Connect with Sumeyya on Twitter. Email Sumeyya at sumeyya.ilanbey@afr.com.au

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