Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for Week 3, 2024: Fade this undefeated team

SportsLine's advanced computer model just locked in its top Week 3 NFL survivor picks

Bo Nix was thought of as one of the most NFL-ready rookies quarterbacks, but you couldn't tell that through two games. Nix leads the league in interceptions (four) with no TD passes, and only Bryce Young has a lower passer rating. With Denver winless, that makes Tampa appealing as one of the possible Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks when the Broncos will visit the 2-0 Bucs. However, Nix's fellow rookie QBs have struggled nearly as much, so you have multiple options with Week 3 NFL knockout pool picks,

Neither Caleb Williams nor Jayden Daniels has thrown a TD pass either, as the three NFL rookie quarterbacks have combined for 199 pass attempts, zero touchdown passes and nine interceptions. Should your Week 3 NFL survivor strategy also consider the Colts, as they host Williams and the Bears, or the Bengals, who host Daniels and the Commanders? Before finalizing any Week 3 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine's simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of simulations, and L.A. also manhandled the Panthers, 26-3.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds and locked in its Week 3 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 3 NFL survivor pool predictions 

In Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Chiefs (-3.5, 46.5) versus Atlanta, even though the reigning champs have started off 2-0, with wins over preseason Super Bowl contenders in the Ravens and Bengals. However, that latest win over Cincinnati cost them running back Isiah Pacheco (fibula) who is out six to eight weeks. The only other running back who has received a carry this year for Kansas City is undrafted rookie Carson Steele, who is averaging just 3.0 yards per carr, has zero receptions and lost a fumble with his nine touches.

That puts plenty of pressure on quarterback Patrick Mahomes, but the Chiefs' passing game has been inconsistent. Travis Kelce, the oldest NFL player who has caught a pass this season, is beginning to look like someone nearly 35-years-old, as he has been held under 45 yards in five straight regular-season games. With Hollywood Brown out until January, and rookie Xavier Worthy with just four total catches through two games, the stagnation that was present with Kansas City's offense last year is also appearing this year. With so many other options on the table, the model is avoiding the Chiefs in Week 3 NFL survivor pools. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, the model is backing a surprising team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 3 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 3, all from the advanced computer model that nailed both its Weeks 1 and 2 survivor picks and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.