2025-26 College Football Playoff semifinal predictions, picks, odds

It wouldn’t be a shock to see Miami capture its first national championship in 24 years.

The Hurricanes’ potential has been clear since their season-opening win over Notre Dame. In recent weeks, the defense has raised the ceiling, holding Texas A&M to three points in front of 104,000-plus, then silencing defending champion Ohio State with five sacks and two interceptions.

But Miami hasn’t faced a more difficult test this season — its lone opponent with a top 15 offense was led by a freshman making his first career start — than the balanced Rebels attack, averaging nearly 37 points per game.

Trinidad Chambliss has been the most dynamic offensive force in the playoff, and has averaged more than 327 passing yards in his past five games, with 13 total touchdowns, one interception, and a 74.0 completion percentage.

The dual threat’s elusiveness — and an offensive line that ranks in the top 20 in sacks allowed — will limit the impact of the Hurricanes pass rush, and running back Kewan Lacy, the nation’s third-leading rusher, keeps the playbook unpredictable.

Miami’s No. 50 offense isn’t equipped to keep pace, led by a historically error-prone game manager (Carson Beck), whose top weapon (Malachi Toney) has shrunk in the playoff, averaging 19 receiving yards, with three fumbles.

The pick: Ole Miss (+3.5)

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Miami-Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl staff picks

Chris Shaw: Ole Miss

Zach Braziller: Miami

Ted Holmlund: Ole Miss

Erich Richter: Ole Miss

Stitches: Ole Miss

Ethan Sears: Ole Miss

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Howie Kussoy has long been the New York Post’s main handicapper in college basketball (since 2011) and college football (since 2013).