Nvidia doubles profit as AI chip sales soar

by · The Seattle Times

Nvidia, which dominates the market for computer chips used to build artificial intelligence, has become a Wall Street sensation.

Over the past year, it has increased its market value by $2.5 trillion and dethroned Apple as the world’s most valuable tech company. But Nvidia’s success has raised questions about how long its run can last.

On Wednesday, Nvidia showed that the world’s seemingly insatiable appetite for AI technology could lift its business to new highs. The company, a bellwether for AI, topped Wall Street’s expectations for the quarter, reporting that revenue jumped 94% from a year ago and profit increased by 106% during the three months that ended in October.

Nvidia also projected that revenue in the current quarter would rise by 70% from a year ago to $37.5 billion, as it began selling a new, more powerful AI chip called Blackwell. The forecast exceeded Wall Street’s prediction by about $500 million and suggested that customers were lining up to purchase the new chip.

Revenue in the quarter ending in October was $35.08 billion, surpassing the company’s estimate of $32.5 billion in August. Net income rose to $19.04 billion from $9.24 billion a year ago, exceeding the quarterly profits of Amazon and Meta.

Shares in Nvidia fell 3% in after-hours trading, partly because its sales outlook was dampened by supply constraints on its new chip.

The results are the latest proof that companies are continuing to pour billions of dollars into generative AI technology. Nvidia’s chips, which can perform hundreds of tasks at the same time, are being purchased to power chatbots, write software code and discover new drugs. Those efforts have continued, even as some skeptics on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley question whether the financial return on those applications will justify their staggering costs.

Nvidia gained a dominant position in AI because its CEO, Jensen Huang, bet that its semiconductors could be essential to building the technology. He spent years developing software and servers that would allow the chips, known as graphics processing units, or GPUs, to train systems in order to recognize images and predict words. The wager helped him corner 90% of the chip market.

Huang has become one of AI’s biggest proponents, saying its economic effect will be similar to the Industrial Revolution. He has traveled in recent weeks to India, Japan and Indonesia to encourage the countries and their companies to invest in building data centers.

“The computer industry has fundamentally changed,” Huang said in Japan last week. “From an industry that produced software, we have become an industry that is manufacturing artificial intelligence.”

Nvidia’s projected sales for the current quarter were encouraging for investors. Many of them are betting that the company’s newest chip, which is faster than its predecessor, will push sales higher.

But the chip’s development has been challenging. During a call with analysts in August, Nvidia said that it had to change the production process for the chip, because it wasn’t manufacturing enough that worked properly. Huang assured analysts that wouldn’t cause any delays.

This month, Huang fulfilled that promise when Nvidia began shipping the first versions of the chip to customers. The premium version, which the company calls the GB200 NVL72, is a computer server with 72 GPUs that weighs 3,000 pounds and has a water-cooling system to prevent it from overheating.

“We’re all betting that there’s a major inflection point coming in AI computing, and this is that product,” said David Readerman, a portfolio manager at Endurance Capital Partners, an Nvidia investor. “But it’s a complex product that requires new data center design, installation and performance.”

In addition to those challenges, Nvidia has faced government inquiries into its sales practices. The Justice Department, the European Union, Britain and China have all been looking into its business.

The company has said that it will provide any information that regulators need.

In the last quarter, Nvidia continued to dominate the market for AI data centers. The company reported that data centers sales rose 112% to $30.8 billion, with a majority of that coming from the sales of GPUs.